United Kingdom
EU Referendum, 23 June 2016
Floods, June 2016
The UK experienced heavy rains on 22 June 2016, prompting the Environment Agency to issue 45 flood alerts and 16 red flood warnings. In London’s St James’ Park, the rain was measured to 44mm in only six hours, which is typically the rainfall for a whole month. South Farnborough recorded 45.6mm of rain in 14 hours (Met Office 2016). The London Fire Brigade rescued about 50 residents from flooded homes during the downpour, and over 550 calls were made due to weather-related emergencies in the capital such as vehicles trapped in floods and properties struck by lightning (LFB 2016).
Impact on the electoral process
On the 23 June 2016, citizens were heading to the polls to vote in a referendum on the UK’s continued membership of the European Union. Some voters waded through water in order to reach their polling station (BBC News 2016); long queues formed outside polling stations in London and South-East England, with some being hard to access and others having to be relocated at short notice (Davies 2016). Some voters reported missing the deadline for voting due to trains being delayed and cancelled, either because of the flooding or lightning strikes to power lines (Tran 2016).
The turnout was 72.2 per cent, higher than at all UK general elections since 2000. The last UK referendum in 2011, on electoral reform, had a turnout of 42 per cent (Electoral Commission 2022;Electoral Commission 2011).
One study calculated that the floods decreased turnout by 1.6 per cent for every 25 mm (1 inch) of rain but that this worked in favour of the (unsuccessful) “remain” vote (Leslie and Arı 2018).
BBC News, ‘Heavy rain in south east England: Your pictures’, 23 June 2016, <https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-36606200>, accessed 21 September 2025
Davies, C., ‘Long queues reported outside referendum polling stations’, The Guardian, 23 June 2016, <https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/23/referendum-day-queues-polling-stations>, accessed 21 September 2025
Electoral Commission, The, ‘Complete set of turnout figures for referendum now published’, 6 May 2011, <https://web.archive.org/web/20111021025953/http:/www.electoralcommission.org.uk/news-and-media/news-releases/electoral-commission-media-centre/news-releases-referendums/Complete-set-of-provisional-turn-out-figures-for-referendum-now-published>, accessed 21 September 2025
—, ‘Report: 23 June 2016 referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union’, updated 29 July 2022, <https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/research-reports-and-data/our-reports-and-data-past-elections-and-referendums/report-23-june-2016-referendum-uks-membership-european-union>, accessed 21 September 2025
Leslie, A. P. and Arı, B., ‘Could rainfall have swung the result of the Brexit referendum?’, Political Geography, 65 (2018), pp. 134–142, <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2018.05.009>
London Fire Brigade (LFB), ‘Brigade receives over five hundred 999 calls as heavy rain and thunderstorms hit London’, 23 June 2016, <https://www.london-fire.gov.uk/incidents/2016/june/brigade-receives-over-five-hundred-999-calls-as-heavy-rain-and-thunderstorms-hit-london/>, accessed 21 September 2025
Met Office, MOBlog Archive – ‘2016_06’, <https://digital.nmla.metoffice.gov.uk/IO_81d8bb2d-f02a-430e-af25-83b058ba19cc/>, accessed 21 September 2025
Tran, M., ‘EU referendum voters wade through water as floods hit south-east’, The Guardian, 23 June 2016, <https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/jun/23/torrential-rain-and-flooding-in-london-and-south-east-on-referendum-day>, accessed 21 September 2025